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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| FakePolls | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (240–149, n=389) | 44% (11396–14488, n=25884) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) |
| Consensus PnL | $197K | -$8.8M | $4.1M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #211 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (9 of 13 open) | 53% (17 of 32 open) | 74% (86 of 116 open) | 80% (12 of 15 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 283 at avg 66¢, ROI +17% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 50% of 28) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 65% of 37) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 89% of 63) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 97% of 155) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | FakePolls | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pelicans (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | Pelicans $23K | Clippers $10K | — |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.8K | — | Over $11K |
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Bears $8.1K | — | Buccaneers $3.4K |
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Bears | — | Buccaneers $1.1K | — | Bears $3.5K |
| Spread: Bears (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Bears $103 | — | Buccaneers $4.1K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $148 | Yes $2.7K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Bears $2 | — | Buccaneers $2.7K |
| Spread: Bears (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Bears $295 | — | Buccaneers $94 |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | — | Coco Gauff $91K | Coco Gauff $17K | — |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj | — | Patrick Zahraj $65K | Patrick Zahraj $5.9K | — |
| Spread: Bears (-13.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $28K | — | Buccaneers $29K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | Bilibili Gaming $20K | Bilibili Gaming $273 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Under $13K | — |
| Heat vs. Kings: O/U 238.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $7.6K | Under $4.2K | — |
| Matsuyama: Luca Staeheli vs Takuya Kumasaka same side · consensus Takuya Kumasaka | — | Takuya Kumasaka $1.4K | Takuya Kumasaka $1.7K | — |
| Brisbane 3: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson same side · consensus Sam Ryan Ziegann | — | Sam Ryan Ziegann $1.6K | Sam Ryan Ziegann $1.4K | — |