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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
End123Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)65% (271–144, n=415)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL-$18K$3.3M$5.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #792PM monthly #22PM monthly #3PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)65% (171 of 264 open)no open consensus position61% (130 of 214 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNFL −18 pts, n=18Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won64% of 422 at avg 63¢, ROI −1%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 11% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 42% of 43)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 63% of 132)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up45% (won 86% of 190)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

46 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEnd123Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.0K—Over $462
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $343—Central Michigan $6.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.6K
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $214—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Spread: Knicks (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Bulls $1.2K—Knicks $149
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.1K—No $124
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $9
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $928—Over $153
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $977—Bulls $64
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $713—Over $268
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $663—Over $3
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
—Cavaliers $304—Thunder $308
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Grizzlies $246—Pacers $190
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $284—Grizzlies $118
Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $350—Under $41
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Hawks $271—Wizards $69
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Lakers $27—Kings $253
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $230—Under $6
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $124—Trail Blazers $98
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $123—Over $86
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $20—Pelicans $154
Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado
same side · consensus Juan Carlos Prado
—Juan Carlos Prado $1.5K—Juan Carlos Prado $15K
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.9K—No $498
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $4.9K—76ers $240
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.4K—No $533
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $873—Over $1.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5—Over $1.5K
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Under $382
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
—Knicks $1.0K—Knicks $356
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $42—No $1.3K
Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)
same side · consensus CA Mineiro
—CA Mineiro $1.3K—CA Mineiro $65
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Under $75
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101—Under $1.1K
Will Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $406—No $742
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $703—Under $364
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $898—Over $75
Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)
same side · consensus CA Mineiro
—CA Mineiro $903—CA Mineiro $9
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Pelicans $732—Pelicans $130
Will Puntarenas FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $814—No $6
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $642—Under $140
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $720—Under $20
Spread: Wizards (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $429—Hawks $288
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $394—Raptors $278
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Pelicans $534—Pelicans $136
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Lakers $595—Lakers $3