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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankomnibus-076daaQuantDeLaFugaziRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)50% (15072–15093, n=30165)65% (670–363, n=1033)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.0M$111K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #56Hand-pickedPM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus55% (12 of 22 open)56% (105 of 188 open)67% (10 of 15 open)67% (152 of 228 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%58% of 1428 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)8% (won 60% of 874)26% (won 21% of 369)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)21% (won 87% of 2384)23% (won 45% of 324)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)38% (won 95% of 4296)23% (won 71% of 328)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 99% of 3716)29% (won 92% of 407)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankomnibus-076daaQuantDeLaFugaziRN1
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.2KNo $1.6K—Yes $96
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $300KYes $508——
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $63K——Yes $20K
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert
opposite sides · consensus Matteo Berrettini
—Ugo Humbert $901—Matteo Berrettini $14K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5—No $5.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Over $1.5K
Cali: Julia Grabher vs Julia Riera
opposite sides · consensus Julia Riera
—Julia Riera $774—Julia Grabher $474
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0KYes $149——
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
opposite sides · consensus Eric Vanshelboim
—Eric Vanshelboim $653—Ignacio Parisca $296
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $68—No $677
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5—No $622
Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel
—Lukas Pokorny $100—Toby Samuel $434
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $109—Under $278
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 3 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $191—No $111
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $258—No $2
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $147—Yes $71
W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova
—Anna Siskova $134—Marie Weckerle $55
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4—Under $107
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus SK Slavia Praha
—SK Slavia Praha $46K—SK Slavia Praha $331
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $22KYes $117——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15KYes $215——
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $15K—Under $226
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Carlos Alcaraz $24—Carlos Alcaraz $9.9K
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $8.7K—Under $15
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $786—Over $7.1K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $100—Under $6.8K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
—Tomas Machac $3.7K—Tomas Machac $1.2K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $104—Under $4.0K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6KYes $69——
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0KYes $59——
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $63
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $794—Over $15
Will FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $364—Yes $4
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $106—No $192
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $27—Under $147
W75 Petange: Oceane Dodin vs Eva Bennemann
same side · consensus Oceane Dodin
—Eva Bennemann $42—Eva Bennemann $99
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $61—Under $13
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28Yes $41——
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hernan Casanova
same side · consensus Juan Manuel La Serna
—Juan Manuel La Serna $36—Juan Manuel La Serna $13