← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | KnightDasCapital | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 44% (11392–14477, n=25869) | 53% (12535–11056, n=23591) | 48% (17936–19365, n=37301) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | -$8.8M | $107K | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #87 | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (35 of 40 open) | 66% (31 of 47 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 56% (33 of 59 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=5995 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 51% of 7218 at avg 52¢, ROI +1% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 17% (won 18% of 1234) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 29% (won 41% of 2116) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 30% (won 58% of 2151) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 24% (won 80% of 1717) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | KnightDasCapital | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans vs. Chargers opposite sides · consensus Texans | Chargers $294K | Texans $50K | — | Texans $8.5K |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | Packers $143K | Patriots $10K | — | Packers $489 |
| Packers vs. Patriots opposite sides · consensus Packers | Packers $104K | Patriots $13K | — | Packers $4.0K |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $124K | Seahawks $80K | — | Seahawks $3.9K |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Chargers $100K | Texans $41K | — | — |
| Raiders vs. 49ers opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | 49ers $44K | — | Raiders $16 |
| Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $14K | Under $7.9K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $260 | No $2.5K |
| Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.5K | — | Under $116 |
| Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | — | Over $208 |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Texans | — | Texans $8 | — | Chargers $365 |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | — | Coco Gauff $26K | — | Coco Gauff $40K |
| Spread: Heat (-9.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $18K | — | Heat $136 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $1.5K | — | Seahawks $3.9K |
| Spread: Seahawks (-9.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Seahawks $137 | — | Seahawks $4.1K |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) same side · consensus Chargers | Chargers $3.9K | Chargers $31 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.3K | — | Over $360 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-9.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Nets $943 | — | Nets $146 |
| Knoxville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux same side · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux | — | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $677 | — | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $224 |