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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpmorito181primm
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6399–5911, n=12310)69% (537–245, n=782)50% (1103–1116, n=2219)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$1.2M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #22PM monthly #108 + pinnedPM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus54% (15 of 28 open)77% (119 of 154 open)81% (151 of 186 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Mentions −13 pts, n=20—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)22% (won 6% of 202)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)5% (won 43% of 49)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)6% (won 53% of 55)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)67% (won 96% of 612)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpmorito181primm
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $170K—Yes $22K—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $80K—No $188—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.8KYes $22K—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $768Yes $19K—
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $180Yes $6.5K—
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.1KYes $2.2K—
Exact Score: Al Fateh Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Riyadh Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $694Yes $1.7K—
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $697Yes $1.6K—
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $364Yes $14—
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $353Yes $5—
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $7No $221—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.3KNo $23K—