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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorplaganzaRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6519–6017, n=12536)67% (2–1, n=3)48% (14128–15613, n=29741)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$17K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #794PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus83% (24 of 29 open)69% (230 of 333 open)80% (8 of 10 open)65% (31 of 48 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 1 at avg 10¢, ROI +90%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)100% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)0%22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)0%36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)0%33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorplaganzaRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $572—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe
opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe
—Whitney Osuigwe $1.9K—Lavinia Tanasie $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Julio Cesar Porras $18—Ivan Gakhov $207
Villa Maria: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Murkel Dellien
opposite sides · consensus Juan Pablo Ficovich
—Murkel Dellien $71—Juan Pablo Ficovich $46
W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace
opposite sides · consensus Jo-Yee Chan
—Cadence Brace $14—Jo-Yee Chan $36
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
—Lorenzo Musetti $19K—Lorenzo Musetti $35K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $16K—Yes $11K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.2K—Under $8.6K
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse
same side · consensus Nuno Borges
—Nuno Borges $6.1K—Nuno Borges $8.8K
Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.6K—Yes $9.9K
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $4.5K—No $5.0K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.0K—Under $2.3K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.4K—No $4.3K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.5K—Over $3.0K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Juan Bautista Torres $349—Juan Bautista Torres $3.3K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.2K—Over $1.9K
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
—Renata Zarazua $377—Renata Zarazua $765
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $270—Over $686
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $515—Under $35
W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
same side · consensus Sofia Johnson
—Sofia Johnson $92—Sofia Johnson $213
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $127—Yes $176
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174—Under $42