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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpicky777RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6555–6124, n=12679)no settled market47% (14382–15903, n=30285)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.7M—$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13was PM monthly #875PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)70% (263 of 376 open)no open consensus position56% (22 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%—94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)—10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)—22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)—35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)—33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpicky777RN1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Mika Brunold
—Mika Brunold $4.2K—Borna Gojo $19K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $4.2K—Yes $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
—Lorenzo Sonego $2.4K—Olle Wallin $64
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $524
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $286—No $431
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $74—Over $14
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
—Anna Blinkova $21K—Anna Blinkova $28K
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $21K—No $11K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.6K
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.7K—No $6.2K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $4.4K—Bianca Andreescu $8.3K
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $5.7K—No $5.4K
Will VfL Osnabrück win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.0K—No $3.8K
Will Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $2.1K
M25 Heraklion: Ioannis Xilas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly
same side · consensus Ioannis Xilas
—Ioannis Xilas $1.2K—Ioannis Xilas $1.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Korona Kielce vs. RKS Radomiak Radom: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $217—Over $27
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177—Under $41