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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1User1244322
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6551–6119, n=12670)47% (14379–15895, n=30274)79% (399–104, n=503)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.7M$14.8M-$495K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #27 + pinnedwas PM monthly #844
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)69% (272 of 395 open)54% (19 of 35 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%91% of 455 at avg 69¢, ROI +18%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2588)7% (won 61% of 31)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5673)15% (won 85% of 67)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9163)27% (won 88% of 125)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8536)51% (won 98% of 232)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1User1244322
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo
—Mika Brunold $88Borna Gojo $17K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $6—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $1.3K—
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $57Over $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471No $524—
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $295No $366—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maria Sakkari vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
—Alexandra Eala $23KAlexandra Eala $157K—
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
—Anna Blinkova $18KAnna Blinkova $17K—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $21KNo $11K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Francesco Passaro
same side · consensus Nikoloz Basilashvili
—Nikoloz Basilashvili $18KNikoloz Basilashvili $9.4K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.6K—
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $4.4KBianca Andreescu $8.3K—
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.4KNo $6.3K—
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $5.7KNo $5.4K—
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.5KNo $1.1K—
Will Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2KNo $1.9K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177Under $41—