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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1Sickasulu
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)55% (138–114, n=252)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$14.8M-$146K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #23PM monthly #29 + pinnedwas PM monthly #996
Sides with the consensus86% (24 of 28 open)70% (278 of 395 open)61% (84 of 138 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%63% of 221 at avg 57¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2538)8% (won 24% of 17)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5565)20% (won 48% of 44)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)36% (won 99% of 9017)57% (won 67% of 126)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8250)15% (won 91% of 34)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

67 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1Sickasulu
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.5K—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $9.1KYes $66—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Daniel Milavsky $547Max Hans Rehberg $4.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.0KOver $2—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe
opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe
—Whitney Osuigwe $2.1KLavinia Tanasie $5—
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.9KUnder $11—
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
opposite sides · consensus Julia Riera
—Julia Riera $1.3KRenata Zarazua $482—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
Will Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $340No $585—
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $728Yes $133—
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
—Greet Minnen $686Lisa Pigato $48—
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $677Yes $42—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $489Yes $125—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $324Under $192—
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $11Over $502—
Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $239Under $27—
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Julio Cesar Porras $23Ivan Gakhov $225—
W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
opposite sides · consensus Sofia Johnson
—Jessica Hinojosa Gomez $23Sofia Johnson $213—
W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace
opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace
—Cadence Brace $60Jo-Yee Chan $36—
Mjällby AIF vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $60Under $27—
FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $68Under $4—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $28Over $13—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $29—
Exact Score: Lillestrøm SK 0 - 0 FC Viktoria Plzeň?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $13Yes $4—
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 0 - 0 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $10Yes $4—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $31KUnder $2.0K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $16KYes $11K—
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $21KUnder $4.2K—
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $22KNo $1.6K—
Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2.7KYes $15K—
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $8.0KUnder $8.9K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.0KNo $8.3K—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $12KUnder $439—
Spread: NEC (-1.5)
same side · consensus AS Omónoia Leukosías
—AS Omónoia Leukosías $13KAS Omónoia Leukosías $3—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $10KUnder $128—
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $9.8KNo $315—
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $8.8KNo $1.2K—
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
same side · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
—Ferencvárosi TC $6.3KFerencvárosi TC $1.9K—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.0KUnder $2.4K—
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.7KUnder $24—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.5KOver $3.0K—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.3KUnder $198—
Will Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.7KNo $505—