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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | FakeMadrid | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 59% (908–626, n=1534) | 52% (6555–6124, n=12679) | 47% (14382–15903, n=30285) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $1.3M | $3.7M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #27 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (267 of 379 open) | 57% (24 of 42 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | MLB −1 pts, n=39 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 61% of 1475 at avg 57¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 9% (won 16% of 131) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 28% (won 48% of 417) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 35% (won 62% of 519) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 28% (won 85% of 408) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | FakeMadrid | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Borna Gojo opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo | — | — | Mika Brunold $5.0K | Borna Gojo $19K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K |
| Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $4.1K | Yes $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $613 | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $6 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Sonego opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Sonego | — | — | Lorenzo Sonego $2.4K | Olle Wallin $28 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $475 | Under $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $471 | No $524 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $272 | No $11 |
| 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $111 | Over $14 |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maria Sakkari vs Alexandra Eala same side · consensus Alexandra Eala | — | — | Alexandra Eala $23K | Alexandra Eala $156K |
| Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Yasmine Kabbaj same side · consensus Anna Blinkova | — | — | Anna Blinkova $24K | Anna Blinkova $29K |
| Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $21K | No $11K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.6K |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $8.4K | No $6.3K |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | — | Bianca Andreescu $4.4K | Bianca Andreescu $8.3K |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $5.7K | No $5.4K |
| Will VfL Osnabrück win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | No $3.7K |
| Will Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $1.6K | No $2.1K |
| M25 Heraklion: Ioannis Xilas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly same side · consensus Ioannis Xilas | — | — | Ioannis Xilas $1.2K | Ioannis Xilas $1.7K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $95 | Under $1.1K |
| Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $441 | No $432 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $702 | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $173 | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $177 | Under $41 |