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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Bloodmaster2fantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)62% (13–8, n=21)52% (16–15, n=31)71% (2547–1041, n=3588)48% (575–620, n=1195)
Consensus PnL-$76K$795K$493K$498K
Tracked asPM monthly #707PM monthly #24PM monthly #12PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)43% (73 of 168 open)55% (59 of 108 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——College Basketball −4 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won81% of 16 at avg 79¢, ROI −22%100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢0%6% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢0%53% (won 100% of 9)22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 80% of 5)35% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up69% (won 82% of 11)6% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBloodmaster2fantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $46Mavericks $38K
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
——Florida $2.0KKentucky $11K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $178Nets $9.1K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Bulls $111Timberwolves $7.6K
Sydney: Benjamin O'Connell vs Chase Ferguson
opposite sides · consensus Chase Ferguson
——Chase Ferguson $5.3KBenjamin O'Connell $987
Sydney: Hiroki Moriya vs Sam Ryan Ziegann
opposite sides · consensus Hiroki Moriya
——Hiroki Moriya $3.0KSam Ryan Ziegann $779
Pistons vs. Heat
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Heat $431Pistons $1.6K
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $75Mavericks $1.7K
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Fresno State Bulldogs
opposite sides · consensus UC Riverside Highlanders
——Fresno State Bulldogs $1.0KUC Riverside Highlanders $2
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
——Saint Joseph's Hawks $90Penn Quakers $880
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars
opposite sides · consensus Providence Friars
——Providence Friars $405Colorado Buffaloes $4
Sydney: Jason Kubler vs Stefan Vujic
opposite sides · consensus Jason Kubler
——Stefan Vujic $57Jason Kubler $60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Gen.G
—Bilibili Gaming $101KBilibili Gaming $489—
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Utah
——Arizona $24Arizona $22K
UFC 334: Jim Miller vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Prelims)
same side · consensus Terrance McKinney
——Jim Miller $2Jim Miller $6.8K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Cavaliers $1.8KCavaliers $2.5K
Dota 2: 1win vs Froglings (BO3) - 1win Essence Group D
same side · consensus Froglings
——1win $101win $2.3K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $372Over $117