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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bignum | BreakTheBank | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (9–18, n=27) | 55% (58–47, n=105) | 47% (671–742, n=1413) | 53% (529–468, n=997) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.6K | $381K | $890K | $639K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #953 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #52 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 64% (7 of 11 open) | 64% (47 of 73 open) | 59% (26 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 15 at avg 34¢, ROI +15% | 100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45% | 77% of 769 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 50% of 6) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 23) | 12% (won 44% of 90) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 67% of 6) | 43% (won 100% of 25) | 34% (won 100% of 159) | 25% (won 71% of 190) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 100% of 2) | 52% (won 100% of 30) | 52% (won 100% of 243) | 45% (won 80% of 347) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 9% (won 100% of 42) | 18% (won 99% of 142) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bignum | BreakTheBank | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots vs. Lions opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Lions $727K | Patriots $30K | — |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $221K | Falcons $15K | — |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks | — | — | Oregon Ducks $19K | Pepperdine Waves $156K |
| Vikings vs. Packers opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $115K | Packers $15K | — |
| Spread: Lions (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Lions $71K | Patriots $35K | — |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $18K | Under $1.3K |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | — | Vikings $14K | Packers $2.4K |
| Rams vs. Cardinals opposite sides · consensus Rams | — | — | Rams $4.8K | Cardinals $199 |
| Bills vs. Jets same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $33K | Bills $3.5K |
| Spread: Patriots (-1.5) same side · consensus Lions | — | Lions $25K | — | Lions $3 |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | — | Browns $19K | Browns $1.2K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $4.4K | — | Chiefs $12K |
| Spread: Saints (-2.5) same side · consensus Panthers | — | — | Panthers $3.8K | Panthers $887 |
| Texans vs. Browns: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.2K | Over $446 |
| Panthers vs. Saints same side · consensus Panthers | — | Panthers $1.8K | — | Panthers $238 |
| Orleans: Otto Virtanen vs Nishesh Basavareddy same side · consensus Otto Virtanen | — | — | Otto Virtanen $904 | Otto Virtanen $1 |
| Spread: Lions (-3.5) same side · consensus Patriots | — | — | Patriots $413 | Patriots $194 |