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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Better-ManferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)71% (315–126, n=441)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)63% (1096–631, n=1727)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$69K-$8.8M$4.6M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #633was PM monthly #87PM monthly #110PM monthly #25 + pinned
Sides with the consensus94% (33 of 35 open)67% (42 of 63 open)73% (72 of 99 open)57% (38 of 67 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicElections −4 pts, n=101—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won66% of 438 at avg 62¢, ROI +2%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 9% of 126)4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 23% of 26)26% (won 100% of 1446)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 82% of 34)40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 97% of 252)30% (won 100% of 1675)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBetter-ManferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
—Texans $68K—Chargers $3.6K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $32K—Lakers $84
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
—Celtics $28K—Bucks $116
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Timberwolves $11K—Jazz $116
Lakers vs. Pistons
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Lakers $245—Pistons $9.5K
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
—Chargers $2—Texans $7.1K
Spread: Seahawks (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $1.2K—Seahawks $3.9K
Knoxville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
opposite sides · consensus Geoffrey Blancaneaux
—Shunsuke Mitsui $3.3K—Geoffrey Blancaneaux $320
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.5K—Under $116
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Over $141
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
—Texans $10—Chargers $55
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
—Packers $89K—Packers $4.6K
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $87K—Seahawks $3.8K
Spread: Heat (-9.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $18K—Heat $138
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Seahawks $2.8K—Seahawks $9.7K
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $2.2K—Seahawks $4.2K
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $149—Seahawks $5.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $943—Nets $144