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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AzariahJubyBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)31% (20–45, n=65)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)
Consensus PnL$58K$7.7M-$8.8M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #540PM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #9
Sides with the consensus67% (4 of 6 open)86% (37 of 43 open)74% (28 of 38 open)69% (85 of 124 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic———Other Sports −28 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won25% of 53 at avg 19¢, ROI +1%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢83% (won 14% of 44)10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 75% of 8)36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)
Entries 50–70¢0%35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAzariahJubyBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $103KBulls $9.8K76ers $958
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Texans
—Chargers $294KTexans $55K—
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
—Packers $143KPatriots $10K—
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
—Chargers $100KTexans $36K—
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $49KNo $29K——
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Pistons $32KLakers $873
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $28KOver $390
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $14KUnder $11K—
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
——Pelicans $20KClippers $7
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $10KUnder $302
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Kings $5.2KHeat $298
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $148Yes $2.7K
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $287—76ers $716
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $124KSeahawks $29K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $13K
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
—Chargers $3.9KChargers $26—
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.5KOver $107
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $113Under $297