Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AltMindBreakTheBankkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)55% (30–25, n=55)56% (61–47, n=108)47% (692–767, n=1459)
Consensus PnL$20K$770K$865K
Tracked asPM monthly #883PM monthly #1PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus25% (1 of 4 open)53% (16 of 30 open)61% (91 of 148 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +46 pts n=11, ROI +47%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—0%5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢—43% (won 100% of 25)34% (won 100% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 100% of 30)52% (won 100% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 3)9% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAltMindBreakTheBankkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $874KFalcons $16K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
—Titans $116KJaguars $11K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $77K49ers $23K
Dolphins vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $58KDolphins $39K
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $71KFalcons $25K
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $60KFalcons $14
Spread: Colts (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $6.9KDolphins $2.4K
Spread: Panthers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Saints
Panthers $5.1K—Saints $2.6K
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Titans $40Jaguars $3.8K
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Colts $272Dolphins $531
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $204KVikings $21K
Spread: Colts (-4.5)
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $91KColts $10K
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $37KCowboys $3.3K
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jets
Bills $3.5K—Bills $490