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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AltMindBreakTheBankfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)55% (30–25, n=55)56% (61–47, n=108)55% (23–19, n=42)47% (692–767, n=1459)
Consensus PnL$20K$770K$881K$865K
Tracked asPM monthly #883PM monthly #1PM monthly #18PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)53% (16 of 30 open)no open consensus position62% (93 of 149 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +46 pts n=11, ROI +47%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%100% of 23 at avg 47¢, ROI +53%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—0%4% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢—43% (won 100% of 25)61% (won 100% of 14)34% (won 100% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 100% of 30)30% (won 100% of 7)52% (won 100% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 3)4% (won 100% of 1)9% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAltMindBreakTheBankfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $942K—Falcons $16K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
—Titans $122K—Jaguars $10K
Dolphins vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $75K—Dolphins $39K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $78K—49ers $23K
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $76K—Falcons $22K
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $71K—Falcons $14
Spread: Colts (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $6.9K—Dolphins $2.7K
Spread: Panthers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Saints
Panthers $5.1K——Saints $2.6K
Spread: Panthers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
Panthers $5.2K——Saints $1.7K
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Titans $40—Jaguars $3.8K
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Colts $272—Dolphins $531
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $204K—Vikings $21K
Spread: Colts (-4.5)
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $132K—Colts $17K
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $37K—Cowboys $3.3K
Spread: Bills (-9.5)
same side · consensus Jets
Bills $6.7K——Bills $1.7K
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jets
Bills $2.9K——Bills $490