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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
739633786FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)88% (331–45, n=376)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)48% (14148–15609, n=29757)50% (20605–20391, n=40996)
Consensus PnL-$121K$3.6M$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #975PM monthly #11PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus38% (3 of 8 open)76% (207 of 274 open)58% (53 of 92 open)69% (31 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=350, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +50 pts n=42, ROI +49%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won98% of 401 at avg 49¢, ROI +47%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 100% of 2)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2588)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢53% (won 97% of 213)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5673)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 98% of 186)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9163)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up0%39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8536)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

39 on the same side, 40 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market739633786FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36Under $1.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $139Yes $192No $249
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5KNo $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $104Under $1.1KUnder $960
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177Under $42Under $801
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
HUS Agadir vs. RS Berkane: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.7KOver $777—
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Genaro Alberto Olivieri $1.8KJuan Bautista Torres $1.3K—
Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.8KYes $108—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $757
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Jazz $1.6K—Mavericks $85—
Costa do Sauipe: Juan Carlos Prado vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
opposite sides · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $1.4KJuan Carlos Prado $268—
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
—Leyre Romero Gormaz $504Julia Riera $1.1K—
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $110Over $1.2K—
Will Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2KYes $4—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $74
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $890Under $111—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471No $529—
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Raptors $414—Bucks $400—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $626Over $42—
FC Argeș Pitești vs. Dinamo 1948: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $140Under $473—
Exact Score: FC Argeș Pitești 1 - 0 Dinamo 1948?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $152No $458—
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $510Under $86—
Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionov
opposite sides · consensus Jurij Rodionov
—Jurij Rodionov $51Kimmer Coppejans $419—
Will FC Viktoria Cologne win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $414No $5—
Spread: FC Energie Cottbus (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eintracht Braunschweig
—Eintracht Braunschweig $329FC Energie Cottbus $21—
Will FC Argeș Pitești win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $315Yes $19—
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—76ers $188Cavaliers $108—
Will Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $213No $74—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $174
Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $165Yes $31—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $133—Yes $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $31No $12—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $13KNo $13K—
Will Standard Liege win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $11KYes $8.6K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $494—No $15K
Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.9KYes $10K—
Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Everton FC
—Everton FC $7.2KEverton FC $2.2K—
Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3KNo $6.5K—
Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.0KYes $4.1K—