No settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #787 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
PM monthly #787
Record (90 d)
89/89 · 100%
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
Specialties
366 settled consensus markets · held side won 98% at an average entry of 50¢- NBA
+48 pts
side won 98% of 319 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +47%
- Soccer
+50 pts
side won 97% of 38 · avg entry 47¢
ROI +50%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 100% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 52%(won 97% of 190)
- 50–70¢: 48%(won 98% of 174)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.