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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)61% (196–125, n=321)41% (589–853, n=1442)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$231K$7.7M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #332PM monthly #1PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (26 of 36 open)77% (47 of 61 open)58% (88 of 152 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicGeopolitics −1 pts, n=134——
Settled positions, side won54% of 354 at avg 52¢, ROI +2%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢23% (won 16% of 83)10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 40% of 82)36% (won 98% of 212)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 56% of 90)35% (won 100% of 205)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 96% of 99)20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402BreakTheBankRN1
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $190KEagles $11K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $142K76ers $372
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $115KNo $2.9K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $101KCowboys $4.3K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $15KYes $74K—
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $67KEagles $522
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $16KNo $16K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $11KEagles $169
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $40076ers $155
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $208KUnder $4.5K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
—Giants $68KGiants $9.0K
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $21KChiefs $11K
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Rams $13KRams $8.8K
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $18KChiefs $1.6K
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $14KBulls $77
Spread: Saints (-5.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $6.3KBrowns $311