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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 96% (291–13, n=304) | no settled market | 51% (71–68, n=139) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.7K | $8.4M | — | -$65K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (24 of 37 open) | 83% (34 of 41 open) | no open consensus position | 50% (48 of 96 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled | not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 69% (won 67% of 9) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 15% (won 100% of 2) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $15K | Yes $71K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-9.5) same side · consensus Wizards | — | Wizards $293K | — | Wizards $389 |