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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (192–124, n=316) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 47% (14133–15621, n=29754) |
| Consensus PnL | $217K | $7.9M | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #309 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (26 of 34 open) | 86% (24 of 28 open) | 74% (81 of 110 open) | 58% (95 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=131 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 349 at avg 52¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 15% of 81) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 40% of 80) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 26% (won 55% of 89) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 96% of 99) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $15K | Yes $78K | — | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $7 | Yes $993K | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | No $335K | — |