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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8dszc153187wmy123456789BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6455–6056, n=12511)48% (14165–15642, n=29807)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (22 of 25 open)69% (119 of 173 open)44% (11 of 25 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8dszc153187wmy123456789BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $354Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $466No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
——Diletta Cherubini $291Ipek Oz $680
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $312No $12
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
——Alexandra Eala $21KAlexandra Eala $47K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Magda Linette
——Mai Hontama $3.9KMai Hontama $6.2K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
——Noma Noha Akugue $498Noma Noha Akugue $57
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $139Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $176Under $42