Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x82aad706e75a6cd9dac807109649a6ded01d2777-1794136139118Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2092–854, n=2946)48% (503–539, n=1042)
Consensus PnL—$387K$462K
Tracked asPM monthly #987PM monthly #13PM monthly #21
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position51% (145 of 284 open)59% (20 of 34 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381—
Settled positions, side won—44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 6% of 362)6% (won 100% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 43% of 192)36% (won 100% of 120)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 103)50% (won 100% of 166)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 24)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x82aad706e75a6cd9dac807109649a6ded01d2777-1794136139118Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Norway
—Wales $3.3KNorway $15K
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.3KUnder $15K
Kosovo vs. Israel: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $926Under $4.9K
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
—Portugal $1.4KDenmark $4.0K
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.8KYes $122
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $489Kentucky $916
M25 San Gregorio di Catania: Alex Marti Pujolras vs Raffaele Ciurnelli
opposite sides · consensus Alex Marti Pujolras
—Alex Marti Pujolras $1.3KRaffaele Ciurnelli $23
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Duke $356Miami (FL) $145
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Virtus.pro
—Virtus.pro $100BakS eSports $31
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
—Taylor Fritz $7.3KTaylor Fritz $78K
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
—Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.4K
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus FURIA
—FURIA $67FURIA $10K
Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-11-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $796No $52
M15 Roldan: Juan Estevez vs Murkel Dellien
same side · consensus Juan Estevez
—Juan Estevez $158Juan Estevez $125
Nepal Premier League: Biratnagar Kings vs Lumbini Lions
same side · consensus Biratnagar Kings
—Lumbini Lions $19Lumbini Lions $25
Will Real Valladolid CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6Yes $14
Abu Dhabi T10 League: Royal Desert Champions vs United Tigers
same side · consensus United Tigers
—Royal Desert Champions $2Royal Desert Champions $1