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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7b47a31C97E22de4d7af4A07365545cbC5aEd615-1761165835789FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)51% (632–607, n=1239)52% (6461–6057, n=12518)48% (14167–15642, n=29809)50% (20651–20452, n=41103)
Consensus PnL-$358K$3.6M$14.8M$3.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #477PM monthly #11PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (143 of 193 open)49% (19 of 39 open)68% (30 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=156Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won52% of 1111 at avg 51¢, ROI −3%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 19% of 31)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢44% (won 47% of 491)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 55% of 511)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 74% of 78)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7b47a31C97E22de4d7af4A07365545cbC5aEd615-1761165835789FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $354Over $3.3KUnder $840
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36Under $1.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $215
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $139Yes $192No $249
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5KNo $3.0K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42Under $796
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $757
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $74
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $291Ipek Oz $680—
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
—Kilian Feldbausch $121Sumit Nagal $670—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
opposite sides · consensus Zsombor Piros
—Dalibor Svrcina $3Zsombor Piros $579—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $43Over $133—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $133—Yes $2
FC UTA Arad leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $52Yes $3—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $31No $12—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
—Mai Hontama $9.1KMai Hontama $18K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $494—No $15K
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $9.8K—
Will FC Petrolul Ploieşti win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.0KNo $2.5K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $916
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $153
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $337—Under $755
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.1K—Over $8
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $962Under $102—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $361—Under $595
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $129—CD Pamplona $6
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $86Under $9—