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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x77266604E63f5cAF08D19CaEBae0C563ce064aEBreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)50% (125–127, n=252)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)50% (26157–25785, n=51942)
Consensus PnL$61K$7.7M$4.1M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #948PM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus100% (7 of 7 open)86% (37 of 43 open)69% (86 of 125 open)67% (40 of 60 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won49% of 240 at avg 39¢, ROI +4%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢48% (won 11% of 116)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 54% of 26)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 83% of 40)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 98% of 58)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x77266604E63f5cAF08D19CaEBae0C563ce064aEBreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBlues
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $103K76ers $958—
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $25KNo $29K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2.7KNo $15K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.2KYes $752
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $686No $929
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $28776ers $716—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $596Yes $154
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $702Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Athletic Club $354
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $446Under $67
Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FK Kolos Kovalivka
——FK Kolos Kovalivka $217FK Polissia $270
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $280Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $13KUnder $20K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.5KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $3.1KNo $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KUnder $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $859Under $2.0K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.5KNo $1.2K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $747Boluspor $1.5K
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.4KNo $125
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $1.0KYes $153
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $319Under $718
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $837No $174
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $367Under $606
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $689Yes $282
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $922Over $7