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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6BE68b475d7B0f0382912C59A669B6C3E29339A0-1779887477443FlaznorpHomeRunHazardVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2823–1176, n=3999)52% (590–548, n=1138)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL$0$529K$400K$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #995PM monthly #8PM monthly #9PM monthly #57
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position52% (124 of 237 open)70% (63 of 90 open)56% (5 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=204——
Settled positions, side won—41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 6% of 531)2% (won 100% of 6)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 38% of 315)32% (won 100% of 100)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 61% of 150)60% (won 100% of 189)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 94% of 320)7% (won 100% of 22)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6BE68b475d7B0f0382912C59A669B6C3E29339A0-1779887477443FlaznorpHomeRunHazardVirIntrepidus
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $1649ers $8.3KCowboys $283
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $303Vikings $6.7KVikings $6.2K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Patriots $6.1KLions $38K
Patriots vs. Lions
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Patriots $8.1KLions $19K
Panthers vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
—Panthers $3.3KSaints $19K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $1.1KTitans $7.4K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $165—Chiefs $6.4K
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $31Under $1.7K—
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $75Mavericks $200—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $620Seahawks $20K—
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $7.9KVikings $8.3K
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lions
——Lions $32Lions $3.6K
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Rockets $356Rockets $2.4K—
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
—Mavericks $159Mavericks $2.4K—
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $205Suns $1.9K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $2.0K—
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-3.5)
same side · consensus Iowa Hawkeyes
—Creighton Bluejays $51Creighton Bluejays $300—
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $41Under $270—