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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (555–663, n=1218)53% (5919–5290, n=11209)47% (13355–14864, n=28219)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (21 of 32 open)71% (187 of 262 open)53% (20 of 38 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Talia Gibson vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
opposite sides · consensus Aliaksandra Sasnovich
——Aliaksandra Sasnovich $24KTalia Gibson $26K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $943
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.4KOver $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.0KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $35
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
opposite sides · consensus Deborah Chiesa
——Sarah Van Emst $210Deborah Chiesa $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $466No $529
Buriram United leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $461Yes $52
Luanda: Franziska Sziedat vs Martyna Kubka
opposite sides · consensus Martyna Kubka
——Martyna Kubka $129Franziska Sziedat $154
M25 Valencia: Carles Hernandez vs Marcel Zielinski
opposite sides · consensus Marcel Zielinski
——Marcel Zielinski $136Carles Hernandez $26
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $39KUnder $45
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Bratislava 2: Vitaliy Sachko vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
——Otto Virtanen $1.6KOtto Virtanen $10K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
——No $6.3KNo $1.5K
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.4KNo $207
M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Sergio Planella Hernandez
same side · consensus Samuele Pieri
——Samuele Pieri $2.1KSamuele Pieri $1.6K
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
——No $115No $3.3K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——No $42No $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $100Under $1.1K
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
——No $380No $663
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $747Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
W35 Liberec: Lenka Munzarova vs Vittoria Paganetti
same side · consensus Vittoria Paganetti
——Vittoria Paganetti $8Vittoria Paganetti $585
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
same side · consensus Pavlos Tsitsipas
——Pavlos Tsitsipas $456Pavlos Tsitsipas $10
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $239Under $46
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $117Yes $162
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright
same side · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner
——Jeremy Gschwendtner $105Jeremy Gschwendtner $150