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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | donube | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4539–3321, n=7860) | 70% (712–304, n=1016) | 52% (6608–6142, n=12750) | 63% (992–576, n=1568) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $1.1M | $3.6M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #193 + pinned | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #92 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (11 of 19 open) | 79% (130 of 164 open) | 76% (84 of 111 open) | 70% (52 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 71% of 941 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 22% (won 6% of 204) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 6% (won 48% of 54) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 67% (won 96% of 628) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.