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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4FlaznorppIebe
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3323, n=7859)no settled market52% (6461–6057, n=12518)70% (712–304, n=1016)
Consensus PnL$7.8M—$3.6M$1.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #19—PM monthly #10PM monthly #196 + pinned
Sides with the consensus63% (15 of 24 open)no open consensus position72% (136 of 189 open)80% (133 of 167 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Mentions −13 pts, n=20
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%71% of 941 at avg 70¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—29% (won 11% of 465)22% (won 6% of 204)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)—16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 48% of 54)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)—16% (won 62% of 260)6% (won 53% of 55)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)—39% (won 94% of 637)67% (won 96% of 628)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4FlaznorppIebe
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $45——Yes $22K
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $139Yes $20K
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11K—Under $238—
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $284Yes $6.6K
Bristol Rovers FC vs. Cambridge United FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.0K—Under $803—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—No $494—
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $292Yes $2.2K
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $750Yes $1.6K
Exact Score: Al Fateh Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Riyadh Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $493Yes $1.7K
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $73Yes $14
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $44Yes $5
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
No $172K——No $69K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.4KNo $26K
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
Yes $4.8K—Yes $40—
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.5K——No $199