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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | a37932699 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (41–49, n=90) | 75% (3–1, n=4) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 68% (360–171, n=531) |
| Consensus PnL | -$451K | $3.9K | $779K | -$115K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #823 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #43 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (11 of 20 open) | no open consensus position | 52% (11 of 21 open) | 63% (95 of 151 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 2 at avg 49¢, ROI +48% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 0% | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | a37932699 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $127K | — | Kings $76 | Kings $68 |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | 76ers $73 | — | Celtics $28K | 76ers $873 |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $6.6K | — | Clippers $19K | Suns $492 |
| Clippers vs. Suns opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $1.5K | — | Clippers $298 | Suns $9.1K |
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $20K | — | Ciryl Gane $47K | — |
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $17K | — | — | Heat $680 |
| Spread: Suns (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | — | — | Clippers $6.5K | Suns $431 |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $5.9K | — | — | Magic $178 |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green | Kent State $123 | — | — | Bowling Green $1.9K |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | — | Celtics $744 | 76ers $351 |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $29 | — | — | Heat $659 |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | 76ers $2 | — | Celtics $291 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $6 | — | — | Heat $265 |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | — | Kings $243 | Magic $3 |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | — | Clippers $43 | Suns $43 |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $50K | — | — | Heat $13K |
| Spread: Magic (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Kings $7.2K | Kings $204 |
| Spread: Celtics (-5.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | — | Celtics $11 | Celtics $1.4K |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $61 | — | — | Under $286 |