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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | btna | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (41–47, n=88) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | no settled market | 75% (594–196, n=790) |
| Consensus PnL | -$411K | $779K | — | $19K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #221 | PM monthly #13 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (14 of 24 open) | 46% (6 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | 64% (151 of 236 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 78% of 9 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 11% (won 100% of 1) | 34% (won 10% of 30) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 33% (won 100% of 3) | 19% (won 29% of 17) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 44% (won 50% of 4) | 13% (won 55% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 11% (won 100% of 1) | 34% (won 83% of 30) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | btna | Flaznorp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | 76ers $3.3K | Celtics $19K | — | Celtics $114 |
| Spread: Celtics (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | 76ers $2 | Celtics $180 | — | 76ers $1.1K |
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $20K | Ciryl Gane $47K | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $15K | — | — | Kings $2 |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $6.2K | — | — | Under $605 |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $5.9K | — | — | Magic $201 |
| Spread: Knicks (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Knicks $2.0K | — | — | Bucks $293 |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Celtics $552 | — | 76ers $140 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $25K | Celtics $117K | — | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $40K | — | — | Heat $6.2K |
| Spread: Knicks (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $37K | — | — | Bucks $234 |
| Spread: Knicks (-16.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $18K | — | — | Bucks $130 |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $17K | — | — | Over $5 |
| Bucks vs. Knicks same side · consensus Knicks | Bucks $8.5K | — | — | Bucks $18 |
| Spread: Knicks (-15.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $1.2K | — | — | Bucks $717 |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Jazz $32 | — | — | Jazz $225 |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Jazz $12 | — | — | Jazz $222 |
| Spread: Celtics (-5.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | Celtics $9 | — | Celtics $219 |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) $70 | — | — | Miami (OH) $35 |