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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpyoucanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3326, n=7862)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)49% (6316–6539, n=12855)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$7.3M$3.6M-$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #741
Sides with the consensus58% (15 of 26 open)88% (22 of 25 open)75% (212 of 281 open)56% (14 of 25 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +33 pts n=541, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=46, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 633 at avg 67¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)9% (won 100% of 60)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)16% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 99% of 141)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)52% (won 100% of 332)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpyoucanbuythisbot
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9K—No $494No $371
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $34K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $14KYes $2
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13K—Under $238—
Bristol Rovers FC vs. Cambridge United FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.2K—Under $943—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.6KYes $38
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.2KYes $9
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $31No $48K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $13KUnder $799
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $12K—Over $830—
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $7.6K—Over $65—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.4KNo $2.3K——
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K—No $3.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.5KNo $257
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $3.1KNo $47
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KUnder $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.0KOver $43
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $24
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $613Under $38
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
——No $596No $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $471Yes $19
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $475Over $5
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $334Under $13
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $293Under $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $177Under $2
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $139Yes $8
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $112Yes $15
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $104Under $5