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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (5562–5155, n=10717)63% (989–573, n=1562)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$7.9M$566K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #2PM monthly #77PM monthly #91
Sides with the consensus63% (17 of 27 open)77% (27 of 35 open)74% (86 of 117 open)72% (54 of 75 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Golf −2 pts, n=108NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 19% of 1341)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)35% (won 98% of 204)35% (won 46% of 3607)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)35% (won 100% of 202)35% (won 61% of 3523)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)20% (won 100% of 116)17% (won 86% of 1699)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

29 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSndb1
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $36KRavens $292KJaguars $34K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407KNo $13KNo $335K
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $55K——
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $22KNo $4.8K—
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $16KYes $4.4K—
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $13KNo $4.8K—
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.2KUnder $13K—
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $14KYes $16
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $14KYes $34
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $28No $11K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $326Yes $11K
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $5.1KYes $258
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.4KYes $855
Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.4KYes $97
Will the Phoenix Suns make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $626Yes $420
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $373Yes $607
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $402Yes $365
Spread: Jaguars (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $6Jaguars $672—
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $65Yes $539
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $193Yes $383
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $139No $13
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $29KRavens $194K——
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
No $172K—No $39K—
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
same side · consensus No
No $94K—No $31K—
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
same side · consensus No
——No $760No $81K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $45No $72K——
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $286Yes $62K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $22KYes $2.9K—
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $13K—No $4.7K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $16KYes $844—
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $15KRavens $293——
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $4.0K—UTSA $10K—
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $4.1KYes $6.5K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $2.4K——
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.8K—Yes $3.2K—
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
——No $345No $3.1K
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.3KNo $6
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.6KYes $376—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.0KYes $1.8K—
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.0KYes $149—
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $80Yes $1.6K—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $29Yes $498—
Will Benfica win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $454Yes $1
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $1Yes $454
Will Jeremiyah Love win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
——No $17No $408
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $47Yes $343
Will the season series between the Cardinals and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $73Yes $141
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $132Yes $45—
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
——No $26No $5