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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | 1DVSBSTD | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (71–72, n=143) | 100% (229–0, n=229) | no settled market | 66% (499–256, n=755) |
| Consensus PnL | -$253K | $41 | $8 | -$130K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | was PM monthly #916 | PM monthly #146 | PM monthly #48 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 46% (18 of 39 open) | 97% (70 of 72 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 63% (149 of 238 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 74 at avg 100¢, ROI 0% | 50% of 2 at avg 19¢, ROI +9% | 100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 0% | 100% (won 50% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 0% | 0% | 13% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 0% | 0% | 30% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 100% (won 100% of 74) | 0% | 51% (won 100% of 106) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | 1DVSBSTD | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo vs. Ball State: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $14K | — | — | Over $1.0K |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $14K | — | — | Celtics $736 |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $13K | — | — | Over $257 |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Bulls | Bulls $8.3K | — | — | Spurs $25 |
| UMass vs. Toledo opposite sides · consensus Toledo | Toledo $1.9K | — | — | UMass $25 |
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | Pacers $329 | — | — | Wizards $1.4K |
| Spread: Toledo (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus UMass | Toledo $865 | — | — | UMass $438 |
| Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.1K | — | — | Over $34 |
| Magic vs. Jazz: O/U 215.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $44 | — | — | Under $336 |
| Nets vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Pelicans | Nets $270 | — | — | Nets $22K |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $14K | — | — | Raptors $588 |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Raptors $13K | — | — | Raptors $803 |
| Lakers vs. Bucks same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $3.8K | — | — | Lakers $4.4K |
| Magic vs. Jazz same side · consensus Magic | Jazz $3.3K | — | — | Jazz $1.3K |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-17.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | Sacramento State $9 | — | — | Sacramento State $3.1K |
| Spread: Spurs (-14.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Bulls $557 | — | — | Bulls $615 |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $391 | — | — | Under $515 |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $31 | — | — | Cavaliers $500 |
| Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $201 | — | — | Under $192 |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2 | — | — | Under $380 |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Knicks $40 | — | — | Knicks $78 |