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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1eae27fbc5e6a2f82bdd732bd1d2e0922648c2abFlaznorpndb1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)100% (8–0, n=8)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)63% (1096–631, n=1727)50% (26157–25785, n=51942)
Consensus PnL$35K$4.1M$4.6M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #705PM monthly #16PM monthly #108PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (68 of 93 open)75% (78 of 104 open)65% (41 of 63 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won100% of 8 at avg 83¢, ROI +15%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢0%16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 100% of 1)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up88% (won 100% of 7)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1eae27fbc5e6a2f82bdd732bd1d2e0922648c2abFlaznorpndb1UpTheBlues
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.7K—No $15K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $752
FK Livyi Bereh vs. FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $686—No $929
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702—Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $354
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $67
Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FK Kolos Kovalivka
—FK Kolos Kovalivka $217—FK Polissia $270
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Athletic Club $226
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $280—Yes $6
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $138—Yes $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $20K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.5K—No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1K—No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7K—No $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $859—Under $2.0K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $1.5K
Will CD Anaitasuna win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4K—No $117
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $153
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $754—Yes $282
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $319—Under $718
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $837—No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177—Under $801
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $367—Under $606
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $872
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $922—Over $7
Will Tamworth FC win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
—No $133—No $46
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $112—Yes $52
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $136—CD Pamplona $6
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6—Under $12