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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
primmrayvanmechelenRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)53% (2455–2184, n=4639)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)50% (20849–20545, n=41394)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$14K$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #46was PM monthly #981PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (46 of 73 open)65% (102 of 157 open)70% (30 of 43 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +42 pts n=907, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 94% of 51)2% (won 95% of 22)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 99% of 412)32% (won 98% of 321)22% (won 94% of 5682)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 99% of 503)51% (won 98% of 507)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 47)14% (won 98% of 138)33% (won 100% of 8519)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketprimmrayvanmechelenRN1UpTheBlues
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $16Yes $42K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.6KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian
opposite sides · consensus Federico Coria
—Valerio Aboian $10Federico Coria $5.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $218
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $69
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $11—Yes $775
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $192No $249
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3Over $336—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $2Warriors $143—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Spread: FC Lugano (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano
—FC Lugano $11FK Kauno Žalgiris $11—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
—SD Eibar $6—CD Pamplona $6
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $6—Yes $3
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $28No $20K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $307—No $15K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $926Over $7.1K—
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $12Bianca Andreescu $5.8K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $945
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $64
Will K. Sint-Truidense VV win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $188Yes $743—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $42Under $796
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $17Over $672—
Rīga FC vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $20Under $612—
Will FK Polissia win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $6
AZ vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $4No $98—
Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $12Under $25—