Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
Resolved Over. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
30
Under 64%
$28.7K
$-7.1K
Smart Money Signal
18 of 30 top traders (60%)18 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | Overavg 56.9¢ | $10.4K | $16.7K | +$6.4K | 53% 61400-53704 (115104) |
FL Flaznorp | Overavg 55.4¢ | $13.2K | $9.5K | +$2.6K | 51% 25823-24512 (50335) |
LI Lilybaeum | Overavg 54.1¢ | $645.3 | $1.1K | +$503.65 | 61% 14373-9301 (23674) |
 nigiri99 | Overavg 55.2¢ | $312.12 | $565 | +$252.88 | 46% 8596-10247 (18843) |
LU LuckyLoo | Overavg 23.6¢ | $61.73 | $261.33 | +$199.59 | 49% 14720-15397 (30117) |
CA Cannae | Overavg 53¢ | $131.31 | $183.82 | +$52.51 | 53% 16811-14939 (31750) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Overavg 69.5¢ | $69.87 | $85.21 | +$15.34 | 47% 11750-13484 (25234) |
WA WagerWizard<$100 | Overavg 83.7¢ | $47.44 | $56.67 | +$9.23 | 84% 14868-2869 (17737) |
 tradecraftCTR<$100 | Underavg 66.6¢ | $60.46 | $50 | -$10.46 | 51% 6362-6143 (12505) |
38 38791873984189 | Overavg 56.7¢ | $1.2K | $34.37 | +$368.47 | 48% 61256-66065 (127321) |
MA MadridTimeCTR | Underavg 47.9¢ | $959.15 | $31.25 | -$927.9 | 50% 1340-1327 (2667) |
VE VenusianCTR | Underavg 40.7¢ | $313.48 | $30.6 | -$282.88 | 51% 1398-1364 (2762) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Overavg 53¢ | $2.65 | $5 | +$2.35 | 50% 25844-25552 (51396) |
MA maxiplayer | Overavg 64.7¢ | $1.8K | $0.03 | -$141.41 | 76% 762-241 (1003) |
PA Pan9XCTR | Underavg 23.3¢ | $213.98 | $0 | +$43.26 | 54% 9751-8144 (17895) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR | Underavg 44.3¢ | $11.1K | — | $-11.1K | 50% 21206-21476 (42682) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Underavg 4¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 53% 23655-20823 (44478) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 46¢ | $57.83 | — | -$57.83 | 50% 28453-28349 (56802) |
DA dashattackerCTR | Underavg 77.9¢ | $2.1K | — | $-2.1K | 73% 2979-1119 (4098) |
 0xheavy888CTR<$100 | Underavg 46¢ | $83.72 | — | -$83.72 | 56% 7923-6330 (14253) |
LI LimousinCTR | Underavg 38.3¢ | $1.3K | — | $-1.3K | 53% 1442-1288 (2730) |
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGCTR | Underavg 48¢ | $179.4 | — | -$179.4 | 58% 6758-4795 (11553) |
NM NM-PCTR<$100 | Underavg 46¢ | $2.53 | — | -$2.53 | 64% 9930-5532 (15462) |
PA pauleta23CTR<$100 | Underavg 10.9¢ | $6.31 | — | -$6.31 | 66% 24281-12378 (36659) |
SM SmallcoinsCTR | Underavg 14.8¢ | $701 | — | -$678.71 | 53% 1203-1072 (2275) |
RN1Invested
$10,391.22
Value
$16.7K
PnL
+$6.4K
Record
53%
61400-53704 (115104)
Invested
$13,222.05
Value
$9.5K
PnL
+$2.6K
Record
51%
25823-24512 (50335)
Invested
$645.3
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$503.65
Record
61%
14373-9301 (23674)
nigiri99Invested
$312.12
Value
$565
PnL
+$252.88
Record
46%
8596-10247 (18843)
Invested
$61.73
Value
$261.33
PnL
+$199.59
Record
49%
14720-15397 (30117)
Invested
$131.31
Value
$183.82
PnL
+$52.51
Record
53%
16811-14939 (31750)
Invested
$69.87
Value
$85.21
PnL
+$15.34
Record
47%
11750-13484 (25234)
Invested
$47.44
Value
$56.67
PnL
+$9.23
Record
84%
14868-2869 (17737)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$60.46
Value
$50
PnL
-$10.46
Record
51%
6362-6143 (12505)
Invested
$1,224.84
Value
$34.37
PnL
+$368.47
Record
48%
61256-66065 (127321)
Invested
$959.15
Value
$31.25
PnL
-$927.9
Record
50%
1340-1327 (2667)
Invested
$313.48
Value
$30.6
PnL
-$282.88
Record
51%
1398-1364 (2762)
Invested
$2.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.35
Record
50%
25844-25552 (51396)
Invested
$1,809.52
Value
$0.03
PnL
-$141.41
Record
76%
762-241 (1003)
Invested
$213.98
Value
$0
PnL
+$43.26
Record
54%
9751-8144 (17895)
Invested
$11,056.98
Value
—
PnL
$-11.1K
Record
50%
21206-21476 (42682)
Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
53%
23655-20823 (44478)
Invested
$57.83
Value
—
PnL
-$57.83
Record
50%
28453-28349 (56802)
Invested
$2,085.71
Value
—
PnL
$-2.1K
Record
73%
2979-1119 (4098)
0xheavy888CTR<$100Invested
$83.72
Value
—
PnL
-$83.72
Record
56%
7923-6330 (14253)
Invested
$1,282.87
Value
—
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
53%
1442-1288 (2730)
Invested
$179.4
Value
—
PnL
-$179.4
Record
58%
6758-4795 (11553)
Invested
$2.53
Value
—
PnL
-$2.53
Record
64%
9930-5532 (15462)
Invested
$6.31
Value
—
PnL
-$6.31
Record
66%
24281-12378 (36659)
Invested
$701
Value
—
PnL
-$678.71
Record
53%
1203-1072 (2275)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
Over — $16.7K
Flaznorp
Over — $9.5K
Lilybaeum
Over — $1.1K
nigiri99
Over — $565
LuckyLoo
Over — $261.33
Cannae
Over — $183.82
topdogbigboi
Over — $85.21
WagerWizard
Over — $56.67
tradecraft
CTRUnder — $50
38791873984189
Over — $34.37