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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | RN1 | twe2nty | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) | 75% (129–43, n=172) | 50% (19440–19510, n=38950) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.6M | $14.8M | -$6.4K | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | was PM monthly #956 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (39 of 50 open) | 58% (143 of 246 open) | 91% (10 of 11 open) | 60% (65 of 109 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=118 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 71% of 246 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 21% (won 4% of 52) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 5% (won 8% of 13) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 4% (won 60% of 10) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 70% (won 96% of 171) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
30 on the same side, 38 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | RN1 | twe2nty | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.5K | — | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $382 | — | Under $7.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $3.1K | — | No $3.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.5K | — | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.4K | — | Under $3.2K |
| Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $4.5K | — | Under $753 |
| Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 0 Coventry City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $977 | — | Yes $3.3K |
| Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.4K | — | Under $2.3K |
| Clube do Remo vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.8K | — | Under $160 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $7 | — | No $2.6K |
| Gil Vicente FC vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $390 | — | Under $2.2K |
| Exact Score: Everton FC 1 - 2 Manchester United FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.0K | — | Yes $872 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — | Athletic Club $223 |
| CA Rosario Central vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $535 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $35 | — | Under $1.5K |
| Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AC Monza: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $58 | — | No $1.4K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.3K | — | Yes $36 |
| Oregon State vs. Houston: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $686 | — | Under $9 |
| St Mirren FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $3 | — | No $689 |
| O/U 55.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $457 | — | Under $146 |
| Exact Score: Bologna FC 1909 2 - 2 US Sassuolo Calcio? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $4 | — | Yes $520 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $162 | — | No $288 |
| FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $390 | — | Yes $3 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — | Athletic Club $347 |
| Exact Score: Valencia CF 0 - 3 FC Barcelona? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $18 | — | Yes $310 |
| Spread: CD Santa Clara (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus CD Santa Clara | — | CD Santa Clara $244 | — | Rio Ave FC $81 |
| Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $13 | — | Under $240 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $90 | — | No $139 |
| Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 0 Coventry City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $30 | — | No $157 |
| OGC Nice vs. Le Mans FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $133 | — | No $20 |
| Will Lyn 1896 FK win on 2026-09-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $3 | — | No $134 |
| Will Central Espanol FC vs. Defensor Sporting end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $84 | — | Yes $40 |
| Will Cesena FC vs. Mantova 1911 end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $28 | — | Yes $43 |
| Exact Score: Juventus FC 0 - 1 AC Milan? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $65 | — | Yes $2 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $28 | — | Under $12 |
| UD Almería vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $5 | — | Under $33 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $20 | — | Over $5 |
| Will Virtus Entella vs. L.R. Vicenza end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $10 | — | Yes $5 |
| Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 1 Coventry City FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.8K | — | No $10K |
| Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $5.6K | — | No $310 |
| Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5) same side · consensus Sevilla FC | — | Sevilla FC $983 | — | Sevilla FC $3.4K |
| Spread: Steelers (-14.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | Browns $4.2K | — | Browns $65 |
| CA Lanús vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $937 | — | Over $3.2K |
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $26 | — | No $2.3K |
| Modena FC 2018 vs. US Avellino 1912: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $3 | — | Under $2.3K |
| Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.1K | — | No $101 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | — | Under $931 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.7K | — | Under $82 |
| Spread: Nebraska (-23.5) same side · consensus Ohio | — | Ohio $1.6K | — | Ohio $87 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) same side · consensus Falcons | — | Falcons $1.6K | — | Falcons $27 |