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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighmicky456nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)46% (385–445, n=830)60% (294–195, n=489)54% (312–261, n=573)
Consensus PnL$502K$19K$425K
Tracked asPM monthly #19was PM monthly #370PM monthly #135
Sides with the consensus69% (44 of 64 open)no open consensus position55% (50 of 91 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +32 pts n=264, ROI +8%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 280 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%100% of 264 at avg 68¢, ROI +8%65% of 504 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 17)5% (won 100% of 14)14% (won 32% of 72)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 100% of 105)18% (won 100% of 48)24% (won 55% of 121)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 137)26% (won 100% of 69)44% (won 69% of 222)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 21)50% (won 100% of 133)18% (won 98% of 89)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketkeeptheblueflagflyinghighmicky456nigiri99
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Bianca Andreescu
opposite sides · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $21K—Polona Hercog $55
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Pacers $20K—Knicks $490
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Bulls $13K—Hawks $2.4K
Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $10K—Over $674
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $7.6K—Grizzlies $200
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Over $597
Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.2K—Under $482
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Knicks $397—Pacers $21
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $12K—Under $411
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $11K—Over $148
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.4K—Over $1.9K
Netherlands vs. Greece: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5.0K—Over $140
Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.7K—Over $528
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $3.4K—Pelicans $220
Bulgaria vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $973—Under $57
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $367—Over $17
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $256—Under $4