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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
googleplayHyugaPSkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)50% (6–6, n=12)no settled market46% (385–445, n=830)54% (312–261, n=573)
Consensus PnL$423K—$502K$425K
Tracked asPM monthly #17PM monthly #648PM monthly #19PM monthly #135
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position68% (44 of 65 open)55% (51 of 93 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%—100% of 280 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%65% of 504 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢0%—6% (won 100% of 17)14% (won 32% of 72)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 100% of 1)—38% (won 100% of 105)24% (won 55% of 121)
Entries 50–70¢83% (won 100% of 5)—49% (won 100% of 137)44% (won 69% of 222)
Entries 70¢ and up0%—8% (won 100% of 21)18% (won 98% of 89)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketgoogleplayHyugaPSkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Sopo: Polona Hercog vs Bianca Andreescu
opposite sides · consensus Bianca Andreescu
——Bianca Andreescu $21KPolona Hercog $55
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
——Pacers $20KKnicks $490
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
——Bulls $13KHawks $2.4K
Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $10KOver $674
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
——Pelicans $7.6KGrizzlies $200
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $597
Serbia vs. Germany: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.2KUnder $482
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——Knicks $397Pacers $21
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $12KUnder $411
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $11KOver $148
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $5.4KOver $1.9K
Netherlands vs. Greece: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $6.2KOver $143
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $4.7KOver $51
Slovenia vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.7KOver $528
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
——Pelicans $3.4KPelicans $220
Bulgaria vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $973Under $57
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $367Over $19
Bucks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $256Under $4