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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677primm
Record (consensus markets)43% (11774–15353, n=27127)55% (13343–10705, n=24048)43% (10–13, n=23)47% (1430–1597, n=3027)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.4M$3.2M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #41
Sides with the consensus73% (11 of 15 open)65% (79 of 121 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 95% of 59)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)40% (won 99% of 512)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)50% (won 100% of 633)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 65)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677primm
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $141Yes $2.8K——
Orleans: Hugo Grenier vs Martin Krumich
opposite sides · consensus Martin Krumich
Martin Krumich $3Hugo Grenier $60——
Hersonissos 3: Ryan Peniston vs Henry Searle
opposite sides · consensus Ryan Peniston
Ryan Peniston $1Henry Searle $1——
Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev
same side · consensus Adrian Andreev
Adrian Andreev $21KAdrian Andreev $7.9K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Cameron Norrie
Cameron Norrie $15KCameron Norrie $12K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo
same side · consensus Tomas Machac
Tomas Machac $24KTomas Machac $1.8K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——