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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1Tan4321
Record (consensus markets)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)100% (3–0, n=3)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$1.4M$14.9M$22K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #35 + pinnedwas PM monthly #990
Sides with the consensus56% (5 of 9 open)64% (100 of 157 open)48% (19 of 40 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 3 at avg 97¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)30% (won 9% of 919)10% (won 57% of 2594)0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)15% (won 37% of 455)22% (won 94% of 5704)0%
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)14% (won 63% of 439)35% (won 99% of 9204)0%
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)42% (won 94% of 1302)33% (won 100% of 8622)100% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpRN1Tan4321
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $12KOver $1.8K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $1.7KBilly Harris $6.2K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Cavaliers $1.5KHornets $169Cavaliers $708—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Orleans: Max Houkes vs Tom Gentzsch
opposite sides · consensus Tom Gentzsch
—Tom Gentzsch $3.7KMax Houkes $1.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872Over $3.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $146Yes $2.8K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873Yes $315—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Hawks $183Lakers $210—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256No $12—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.4K—
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5.8KOver $88——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin
same side · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
—Max Dahlin $333Max Dahlin $495—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721Under $20—
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $166Lakers $461—
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $197Lakers $248—
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $155Lakers $282—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $170Cavaliers $111—
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Raptors $162Raptors $116—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203Under $41—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $51Over $29—