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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| dwarfwow | Flaznorp | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 52% (6524–6030, n=12554) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 50% (20932–20600, n=41532) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $3.5M | $3.2M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #106 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 74% (234 of 316 open) | 74% (82 of 111 open) | 70% (32 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | dwarfwow | Flaznorp | ndb1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $9 | — | Under $5.2K |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $596 | — | Yes $154 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $702 | — | Over $5 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Athletic Club $354 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | — | Under $64 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $138 | — | No $249 |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $132 | — | Yes $3 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Under $22K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $3.1K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $499 | — | No $15K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | No $2.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Under $1.5K |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | — | No $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $586 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1.0K | — | Yes $153 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $337 | — | Under $755 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.1K | — | Over $8 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $176 | — | Under $796 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $361 | — | Under $595 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $112 | — | Yes $52 |
| Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5) same side · consensus CD Pamplona | — | CD Pamplona $127 | — | CD Pamplona $6 |
| Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $6 | — | No $60 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $7 | — | Under $12 |