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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying88888ndb1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)66% (149–78, n=227)63% (1014–591, n=1605)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL-$5.7K$4.8M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #984PM monthly #93PM monthly #63PM monthly #37 + pinned
Sides with the consensus48% (10 of 21 open)72% (67 of 93 open)76% (16 of 21 open)45% (52 of 115 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won100% of 112 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 61)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 100% of 50)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 1)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying88888ndb1primmRN1
Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame
Miami (FL) $532—Notre Dame $56Notre Dame $2.5K
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6—Under $2.3KOver $619
Iowa State vs. Baylor
opposite sides · consensus Baylor
——Iowa State $16KBaylor $21K
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
——Alabama $4.2KLSU $39
Spread: Delaware (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Delaware
——Delaware $2.1KKennesaw State $1.6K
Penn State vs. Washington: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KOver $405
Iowa vs. Northwestern: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K——Over $308
Colorado vs. Arizona State: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $565Under $500
Spread: Iowa (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern
——Iowa $390Northwestern $521
Spread: Arizona State (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colorado
Colorado $117——Arizona State $721
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $123——Warriors $535
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $546——Pacers $94
Nuggets vs. Pacers: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $229——Under $291
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
same side · consensus Notre Dame
——Notre Dame $175KNotre Dame $25K
Georgia vs. Ole Miss
same side · consensus Georgia
——Georgia $14KGeorgia $5.5K
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Knicks
Knicks $6.9K——Knicks $1.8K
Oregon vs. Ohio State: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.4KUnder $4.2K
Spread: Kansas (-2.5)
same side · consensus UCF
——UCF $1.9KUCF $3
Spread: Tennessee (-6.5)
same side · consensus Tennessee
Kentucky $15——Kentucky $1.8K
Spread: Tennessee (-5.5)
same side · consensus Kentucky
Kentucky $24—Kentucky $1.7K—
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
Wizards $29——Wizards $720
Nets vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $61——Under $264
Spread: Florida (-3.5)
same side · consensus Oklahoma
——Oklahoma $34Oklahoma $16