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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| binakl | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (44–42, n=86) | 56% (61–47, n=108) | 55% (23–19, n=42) | 53% (539–479, n=1018) |
| Consensus PnL | $26K | $770K | $881K | $642K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #863 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #65 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 50% (15 of 30 open) | no open consensus position | 54% (62 of 114 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 23 at avg 47¢, ROI +53% | 77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 12% (won 45% of 89) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 43% (won 100% of 25) | 61% (won 100% of 14) | 25% (won 71% of 190) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 52% (won 100% of 30) | 30% (won 100% of 7) | 45% (won 80% of 347) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 18% (won 99% of 142) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | binakl | BreakTheBank | fantasy7788 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings vs. Packers opposite sides · consensus Vikings | — | Vikings $1.1M | — | Packers $6.3K |
| Panthers vs. Saints opposite sides · consensus Panthers | — | Panthers $945K | — | Saints $11 |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $271K | — | Packers $21K |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | — | Cowboys $142K | — | 49ers $79K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | — | Titans $161K | — | Jaguars $20K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Titans | — | Titans $102K | — | Jaguars $73K |
| Spread: 49ers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $85K | — | 49ers $12K |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Pacers $54K | — | 76ers $4.1K |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | — | Vikings $12K | — | Packers $160 |
| Pacers vs. 76ers opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Pacers $6.8K | — | 76ers $2.8K |
| Spread: Colts (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Dolphins | — | Colts $398 | — | Dolphins $1.3K |
| Spread: Vikings (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $742 | — | Packers $24 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $94K | — | Chiefs $21K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $91K | — | Colts $2.0K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) same side · consensus 49ers | — | Cowboys $3.1K | — | Cowboys $383 |