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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
binaklBreakTheBankfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)51% (44–42, n=86)56% (61–47, n=108)55% (23–19, n=42)48% (701–773, n=1474)
Consensus PnL$26K$770K$881K$871K
Tracked asPM monthly #863PM monthly #1PM monthly #19PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (15 of 30 open)no open consensus position55% (82 of 148 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +46 pts n=11, ROI +47%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44%100% of 23 at avg 47¢, ROI +53%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—0%4% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢—43% (won 100% of 25)61% (won 100% of 14)34% (won 100% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 100% of 30)30% (won 100% of 7)52% (won 100% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 3)4% (won 100% of 1)9% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbinaklBreakTheBankfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $1.1M—Falcons $9.1K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $142K—49ers $23K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Titans $161K—Jaguars $3.4K
Jaguars vs. Titans
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Titans $37K—Jaguars $111K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
—Titans $102K—Jaguars $13K
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $94K—Falcons $12K
Dolphins vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $91K—Dolphins $13K
Pacers vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $6.8K—76ers $75K
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $78K—Falcons $9
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $54K—76ers $22K
Spread: Colts (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $13K—Dolphins $1.1K
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Titans $49—Jaguars $3.9K
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Colts $398—Dolphins $1.6K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $271K—Vikings $28K
Spread: Colts (-4.5)
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $164K—Colts $24K
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $38K—Cowboys $3.3K