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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4FlaznorpRN1TheMathGod
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6565–6142, n=12707)48% (14338–15838, n=30176)63% (114–68, n=182)
Consensus PnL—$3.7M$14.8M-$42K
Tracked as—PM monthly #13PM monthly #27 + pinnedPM monthly #978
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (183 of 268 open)60% (24 of 40 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—MLB −11 pts, n=64
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%63% of 179 at avg 64¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2588)2% (won 33% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5673)8% (won 47% of 15)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9163)59% (won 53% of 105)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8536)31% (won 86% of 56)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4FlaznorpRN1TheMathGod
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $10KOver $313—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $1.3K—
Nantong Zhiyun vs. Foshan Nanshi FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.0KUnder $73—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471No $524—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
Will Guangxi Hengchen FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $35No $11—
FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $31KUnder $11K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Shubladze vs Claire Liu
same side · consensus Claire Liu
—Claire Liu $4.0KClaire Liu $16K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.6K—
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $4.3KBianca Andreescu $8.5K—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.4KNo $5.8K—
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $5.7KNo $5.4K—
Will Ningbo Professional FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.8KNo $1.1K—
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Yosuke Watanuki
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
—Yosuke Watanuki $25Yosuke Watanuki $2.8K—
FC Tōkyō vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.8KUnder $1.0K—
M15 Maanshan: Seongchan Hong vs Kristjan Tamm
same side · consensus Kristjan Tamm
—Kristjan Tamm $1.5KKristjan Tamm $539—
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2KNo $729—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3KNo $17—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $104Under $1.1K—
Will Jiangxi Dingnan United win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $821Yes $71—
Will Dalian Kun City win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $293No $495—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $338Under $106—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177Under $41—