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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
a17367162806FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)53% (300–271, n=571)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)50% (20932–20600, n=41532)
Consensus PnL-$154K$3.5M$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #401PM monthly #21PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (203 of 285 open)58% (79 of 136 open)70% (32 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won99% of 253 at avg 52¢, ROI +30%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 3)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢45% (won 98% of 115)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 100% of 122)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 13)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

54 on the same side, 47 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketa17367162806FlaznorpRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.5KUnder $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $138Yes $192No $249
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $29Under $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5KNo $3.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42Under $796
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $8.6KUnder $5—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
—Olympique de Marseille $5.9KBayer 04 Leverkusen $7—
Will NK Celje win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $437—
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $2.2K—
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian
opposite sides · consensus Federico Coria
—Valerio Aboian $9Federico Coria $2.7K—
Spread: SC União Torreense (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ararat-Armenia FA
—SC União Torreense $522Ararat-Armenia FA $2.1K—
Spread: FC København (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus SK Iberia 1999
—FC København $1.5KSK Iberia 1999 $862—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.2KNo $38—
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.3KNo $770—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $218
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 2 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.4KYes $248—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5KYes $134—
Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5KYes $138—
Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano
—FC Lugano $1.5KFK Kauno Žalgiris $11—
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
—PFK CSKA Sofia $1.5KPanathinaikós AO $4—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $649Over $675—
Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $903No $124—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $787No $111—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $758Yes $130
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $673Yes $126—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller
opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller
—Elmer Moeller $387Joao Lucas Da Silva $32—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $286Over $101—
FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $121Under $234—
Will FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $319Yes $9—
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Julio Cesar Porras $60Ivan Gakhov $238—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $283Over $10—
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $108Warriors $130—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $12Yes $226—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek
—Anna Siskova $60Isis Louise Van den Broek $88—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $132—Yes $3
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $55Over $48—
W50 Huamantla: Victoria Rodriguez vs Maria Sholokhova
opposite sides · consensus Maria Sholokhova
—Maria Sholokhova $6Victoria Rodriguez $36—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $49KNo $28K—