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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpnotfairplayRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6543–6108, n=12651)19% (109–452, n=561)48% (14365–15875, n=30240)
Consensus PnL$3.7M-$3.7K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #13was PM monthly #752PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (210 of 295 open)no open consensus position50% (16 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Crypto −6 pts, n=545—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%19% of 545 at avg 25¢, ROI −9%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)68% (won 7% of 371)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 33% of 112)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)9% (won 55% of 51)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)2% (won 91% of 11)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpnotfairplayRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $541—No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3K
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $60—Over $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471—No $524
Will Borneo Samarinda vs. PSM Makassar end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $22—No $592
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $20K—No $11K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.6K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $2.6K—Bianca Andreescu $8.3K
W35 Liberec: Lea Boskovic vs Weronika Ewald
same side · consensus Lea Boskovic
Weronika Ewald $2.9K—Weronika Ewald $1.8K
Will PSM Makassar win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K—No $1.4K
Borneo Samarinda vs. PSM Makassar: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.0K—Under $1.3K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Borneo Samarinda vs. PSM Makassar: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K—Under $16
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $104—Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $41
Borneo Samarinda vs. PSM Makassar: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $46—Under $4