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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpnotfairplayprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6403–5995, n=12398)19% (103–446, n=549)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)48% (14153–15617, n=29770)
Consensus PnL$3.6M-$4.6K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #11was PM monthly #752PM monthly #53PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (214 of 285 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)58% (68 of 117 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Crypto −6 pts, n=500——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%19% of 500 at avg 25¢, ROI −8%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)66% (won 8% of 332)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 32% of 107)41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)10% (won 54% of 50)49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)2% (won 91% of 11)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

48 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpnotfairplayprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Will Racing Club win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5.0K——Yes $96
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613——Over $3.3K
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.1K——Over $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC vs. Palermo FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.8K——Under $19
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.7K——No $877
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475——Under $1.3K
Will CA Barracas Central vs. Racing Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0K——Yes $318
Will FC Viktoria Cologne win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.2K——No $4
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1K——Over $43
CA Barracas Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $337——Under $780
Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $982——Over $28
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471——No $529
Montpellier HSC vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $849——Under $1
Will FC Metz win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $661——Yes $163
US Boulogne Côte d'Opale vs. FC Annecy: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $48——Over $727
Exact Score: FC Argeș Pitești 1 - 0 Dinamo 1948?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $211——No $436
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato
opposite sides · consensus Facundo Acosta
Facundo Acosta $558——Marco Cecchinato $9
Will Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $419——No $78
Will FC Annecy win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $353——Yes $5
Toulouse FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $54——Over $82
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $97——Over $13
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $31——No $12
Will Grenoble Foot 38 vs. Stade de Reims end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $11——No $15
Will Standard Liege win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
Yes $16K——Yes $14K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Standard Liege vs. SK Beveren: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $7.6K——Over $7.8K
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $2.1K——No $13K
Standard Liege vs. SK Beveren: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $12K——Over $1.8K
Will CA Unión win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $4.2K——No $9.4K
Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Everton FC
Everton FC $7.2K——Everton FC $2.2K
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $7.2K——No $1.7K
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $6.9K——Under $161
Will Stade de Reims win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $3.5K——No $2.0K
Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.9K——No $3.0K
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera
same side · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
Julia Riera $3.2K——Julia Riera $1.3K
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.9K——No $2.5K
Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $157——No $3.4K
Hammarby IF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $542——Over $2.4K
Grenoble Foot 38 vs. Stade de Reims: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $928——Over $1.6K
FC Eindhoven vs. Jong Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.9K——Under $2
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $323——Over $1.5K
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K——No $219
Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.1K——Yes $419
Exact Score: Hammarby IF 0 - 1 IF Elfsborg?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K——No $124
Will Palermo FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K——No $3